The country's benchmark interest rate is "under review", after the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) considered cutting it from the current historic low of 0.5%.
Nothing is happening for "the present time", but it is significant that the Bank has shifted from its previous view that a further cut in rates, recently suggested by the IMF, could backfire.
It's worrying news for savers, who are already suffering from very low rates on the nest eggs - but potentially helpful for millions of homeowners on tracker mortgages (which track Bank rate), who would see a cut in monthly payments.
Here's the meat of what the MPC discussed during its meeting on 6-7th June:
"In March 2009, the Committee had judged that a
reduction in Bank Rate below 0.5% could have
counterproductive consequences, in particular constraining some banks’ and
building societies’ ability to lend.
Lenders were, in practice, unable to reduce deposit rates
below zero. But they had assets – primarily mortgages – with interest
payments contractually linked to Bank Rate. Consequently, a reduction of Bank
Rate below 0.5% might squeeze some lenders’ interest margins to such an extent
that they became even less able to extend new credit.
On the one hand, there was some evidence that the proportion
of outstanding mortgages contractually linked to Bank Rate had increased since
early 2009, as a number of borrowers’ fixed rate deals had expired and
they had moved to paying pre-set rates linked to Bank Rate.
On the other hand, since early 2009, retail deposit rates had
increased somewhat.
So it was possible that lenders had greater scope than before to
absorb a reduction in Bank Rate by cutting deposit rates without adverse
cash-flow onsequences. The extent to which this would be possible would
depend on whether other funding costs also fell in line with Bank Rate.
In addition to this, it was possible that, were interest rates to fall
further, the functioning of the money markets would become impaired.
Overall, the Committee judged that, at the present time, a further
reduction in Bank Rate would not have any advantages over an expansion of
the asset purchase programme, though it would keep the position under
review."
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